Top Headlines

The $9 Trillion Short That’s Seen Sending the Dollar Even Higher – Bloomberg
There’s pent-up demand for the US currency that will underpin years of appreciation because the world is “structurally short” the dollar, according to investor and former International Monetary Fund economist Stephen Jen.

Euro on Defensive on Yield Pressure, Greece Concerns – Reuters
The euro was on the defensive on Monday morning, pressured by the European Central Bank’s stimulus driving interest rates lower in the euro zone and on concerns over talks between debt-strapped Greece and its creditors over more funding for Athens.

Do End Users Really Want to Trade FX on an Exchange or a CLOB? – Profit & Loss (subscription)
Historically there has been the perception that certain US authorities (yes I am talking about CFTC under a certain G Gensler esq) were keen to push FX onto an exchange model. More recently, many people are observing statements from various regulators, especially Europe, and seeing these as evidence that the market ends up on a central limit order book (CLOB).

Unpicking Higher Currency Volatility: A Guest Chart – Financial Times(subscription)
Volatility is on the rise in the foreign exchange market. But has the increase in volatility been spread equally throughout the trading day, or has it been concentrated at specific points? Have patterns in intra-day volatility persisted over the years?

Banks Implement New Surveillance Tools Following Rising Legal Costs –Profit & Loss (free story)
Although they have been the most vocal about it, Profit & Loss has been told that JP Morgan isn’t the only bank looking to new market surveillance technologies to help avoid rising legal costs.

Offshore Yuan Drops Most in a Month as China Exports Decline – Bloomberg
The yuan traded in Hong Kong fell the most in a month after China’s exports unexpectedly contracted, fuelling concern policy makers will favour a weaker exchange rate.

Yuan to Account for 10% of World Reserves by 2025: Survey – Bloomberg
China’s currency will account for 10% of world reserves by 2025 with Asian monetary authorities showing the most support, according to a survey of central banks carried out in March.

China’s FX Market Develops Further With Trade System Launch – Profit & Loss(free story)
China plans to launch its first borrowing and lending business in a number of global currencies this week, according to the People’s Bank of China.

Hong Kong Defends Currency Peg for Second Day as Stocks Jump –Bloomberg
Hong Kong’s de facto central bank stepped in for a second day to prevent the currency from rising against the US dollar as demand surged for the city’s stocks.

Aussie Drops Toward Six-Year Low as China Trade Slumps – Bloomberg
Australia’s dollar fell, headed for its steepest drop versus the US currency in three weeks, after China, its largest trading partner, reported a bigger-than-forecast decline in imports.

The Curious Case of the Cash-Rate Currency Trades – Australian Financial Review (subscription)
Significant recent changes in the structure of currency markets can explain part of the story of the mysterious movements in the Australian dollar before interest rate decisions.

Futures Brokers Feel Strain From Low Interest Rates and Red Tape – Financial Times (subscription)
The ranks of futures brokers are shrinking at a quickening pace as low interest rates and new financial regulations put severe strain on the middlemen of the $27 trillion listed derivatives markets.

Gain CEO Says Swiss Franc Fallout Will Cause Brokers More Pain – Reuters
Retail currency brokers survived the Swiss franc’s surge in January, but they will take more hits as some choose not to pursue into bankruptcy clients who lost money, according to the head of the one of the market’s biggest players.

Regulatory News

CFTC to Pave the Way for Buy-Side Trading on SEFs – Profit & Loss (free story)
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) looks set to enforce anonymous trading on SEF central limit order books (CLOBs), paving the way for buy side participation on these trading venues.

BI to Revise Rules to Mitigate Currency Risks – Jakarta Post
Bank Indonesia (BI) is working to revise regulations on foreign exchange (forex) transactions, expecting to mitigate currency risks that could burden companies, as only less than a third of local firms with foreign debts hedge their loans.

Czech PRIBOR Rate Under Scrutiny After Ministry Warning – Reuters
The Czech Finance Ministry asked the central bank on Friday to investigate whether the Prague Interbank Offered Rate (PRIBOR), the main benchmark for the country’s money market, may have been manipulated to keep interest rates high.

Company News

Law Firm DKR Says Investigating UBS’ Sales of FX Products – Profit & Loss(free story)
Dimond Kaplan & Rothstein, a US-based securities arbitration law firm, is looking into whether UBS misled investors in the marketing and selling of currency and foreign exchange products, including the UBS V10 Enhanced FX Carry Strategy.

Senior FCA Fintech Official Joins Start-Up – Financial News (subscription)
A founding member of the Financial Conduct Authority’s fledgling Innovation Hub is leaving the watchdog’s fintech project after six months to join currency start-up TransferWise, which earlier this year raised $58 million in a high profile fundraising round.

Deutsche Launches Two New Currency-Hedged ETFs – Profit & Loss (free story)
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management has launched two new currency-hedged exchange traded funds (ETFs) on its Deutsche X-trackers platform.

Alpari RU Transfers Trading Servers to New ECN – LeapRate
Alpari claims that over 120,000 active clients will be able to place orders within the spread and users of trading robots will be able to implement complex and high-speed strategies without any limit.

Market Savvy  

Stacked Calendar Week Kicks Off With Ugly China Trade
LMAX Exchange
The economic calendar for the week is stacked and we are already seeing volatility following the release of the shockingly soft China trade data. Overall, with the Fed on course for a sooner than later Fed rate hike, the buck continues to be the currency of choice, and could be looking to extend gains in the sessions ahead.

Press Releases

MahiFX Creates a New Head of Analytics Role
MahiFX has appointed former Oanda trader Alexander Ridgers to the newly created role of head of analytics.

Industry Events